Home Bias: The Hidden Risk in Your Portfolio
Overweighting your home market feels comfortable but concentrates risk. Here’s why it happens and how to diversify without creating tax headaches.
Bias Check
If your country is less than 10% of global market cap but more than 50% of your portfolio, you’re taking concentrated country and currency risk.
What is Home Bias?
Home bias is the tendency to hold a far larger share of domestic stocks than their global weight. Investors in the US, UK, Canada, Sweden, India, and Australia all exhibit this behavior despite different market sizes.
Why It Happens
- Familiarity: You know the brands and news cycle.
- Currency needs: You expect to spend in your local currency.
- Access & regulation: Some brokers limit foreign listings (PRIIPs/UCITS).
- Tax frictions: Forms, withholding tax, and paperwork discourage global exposure.
Why It’s Risky
- Country/sector concentration (e.g., US tech, Canadian financials/energy, Swedish industrials)
- Currency risk without diversification benefits
- Policy and regulatory risk (capital controls, tax changes)
- Missed growth in other regions and sectors
Fixing Home Bias (Practical Steps)
- Measure: compare your country weight to global cap weights (ACWI/FTSE All-World).
- Adopt a global core: one All-World ETF (VWCE, VT, VWRA, DHHF) or IWDA+EMIM combo.
- Set a deliberate tilt: e.g., 20% home, 80% global. Rebalance to policy, not headlines.
- Match currency to liabilities: keep cash for near-term local spending; hedge bonds where available.
- Use local wrappers to handle tax but hold global funds inside them when allowed.
Tax & Wrapper Considerations
You can stay globally diversified while using local tax shelters. The key is picking the right share class and domicile:
- US: Avoid PFICs; prefer US-domiciled ETFs in IRAs/401k. Consider foreign tax credits in taxable.
- UK/EU: UCITS ETFs (PRIIPs compliant). Accumulating classes reduce admin in many systems.
- Canada: US-domiciled ETFs in RRSP may reduce withholding; TFSA does not.
- Sweden: ISK/KF simplify reporting; IE-domiciled ETFs help withholding compared to US-domiciled.
- Australia/NZ: Use Super for tax efficiency; outside, consider broad local + global ETFs.
Evidence & Further Reading
- MSCI,"The Home Bias Effect in Global Portfolios" — MSCI
- Vanguard Research,"Global equity investing: The benefits of diversification" — Vanguard
- Sercu & Vanpee (2012),"The home bias puzzle in equity portfolios" — Oxford University Press
- Fisher, Shah & Titman (2017),"Should you tilt your equity portfolio to smaller countries?" — Journal of Portfolio Management
- Attig & Sy (2023), "Diversification during hard times" — Financial Analysts Journal
- Blanchett (2021),"Foreign revenue: A new world of risk exposures" — Journal of Portfolio Management
- Anarkulova, Cederburg & O’Doherty (2023),"Beyond the status quo: A critical assessment of lifecycle investment advice" — SSRN
- Goetzmann (2004),"Will history rhyme?" — Journal of Portfolio Management
- Ritter (2012),"Is economic growth good for investors?" — Journal of Applied Corporate Finance
- French (2022),"Five things I know about investing" — Dimensional
- Bryan (2018),"World War 1 and global stock markets" — Global Financial Data
- Episode 200: Prof. Eugene Fama (2022) — Rational Reminder Podcast
- Merton (1973),"An intertemporal capital asset pricing model" — Econometrica
Frequently Asked Questions
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Written by The InvestingFIRE Team
We are a group of financial data enthusiasts and early retirees dedicated to building the most accurate FIRE tools on the web. Our goal is to replace guesswork with math.